2 Mar 2007

BUDGET ’07-’08: A GOLDEN OPPORTUNITY MISSED OR GAINED?

The silver-foil package presented by Mr. P. Chidambaram has started to unpack, lending us all a rightful peak into its real contents. Under the microscopic observation of the argumentative Indians, it has caused varied reactions and has been variously termed as “a disappointment”, “a betrayal of common man”, “timid” & of course in some quarters “a success”. Arguably the most important annual presentation made in India, holds the destiny of a billion plus population under its sway. Hence an enlightened & a serious discussion is called for…

A soaring inflation & maintaining the high growth rates are thee twin primary concerns of today’s Indian economy. Budget this year could have been the right opportunity to address both the issues well, but appears to have sadly failed on both the counts. Apart from a few tinny-winy steps it has largely failed to bring about any relief from the clutches of the soaring inflation. Even on the 2nd front it has failed to take along the Indian Inc. and has in the real sense delivered no goods for boosting up the performance of the economy. A few provisions like hiking the dividend tax (by 2.5%), bringing the IT sector under MAT (Minimum Alternative Tax), extending the clutches of FBT (Fringe Benefits Tax) & Service Tax and even the hike in Education Cess (on all taxes) are only steps in the opposite direction. Even the higher tax compliance, instead of being rightfully rewarded, has brought no tangible gains (in the form of some major tax concessions) for the complaints. Missing the golden opportunity the Fin. Min. has failed to focus on the rising unemployment & other major issues of concern. The outlay of women specific progs. stand at a pathetic low of just 0.01% of the total budget. The emphasis on reduction of import duty on the food of cats and dogs, when millions are starving, says it all…

The only light in the darkness appears to be the ‘better late than never’ focus on the farm sector and provision for wider credit net and a laudable insurance scheme (the ‘Aam Admi Bima Yojna’). The socialist in the fin. min. got ventilation in forms of highest priority to the social sector, extension of NREG to another 130 districts and a promise to provide 1,00,000 jobs for the physically challenged are laudable. A reduction in the peak rate of customs duty was also desired. Even a hike in spending in the health and education sector deserves applause. The scholarship schemes aimed at taming the high rate of school drop-outs and the above welcome measures however, sadly, appear to be a mere face saving exercise and are even being blamed to be populist in orientation…

The golden opportunity though seems to have been overall missed could have been gained. A few innovative and imaginative steps like use of a part of the huge idle forex reserves for infrastructure funding without monetary expansion (as reco. by Deepak Parekh committee) and even a long awaited reform by simplification of direct taxes structure could have helped. An incremental approach by the Fin. Min. seems to have largely failed to balance the social and economic priorities of the 21st c. India that could have added a few more steps towards our gr8 nation becoming a responsible ‘super power’ of tomorrow’s world…

**HISTORY BEHIND THE STORY:
Ø The term ‘budget’ was 1st used in the present sense for the first time in 1773, in a satire entitled ‘opening the budget’ directed against Walpole’s (England) financial plan of the year.
Ø The term ‘budget’ is derived 4m an old English word ‘Bougett’ which means a sack or a pouch.
Ø Railway and general budget in India was separated in 1921 on the reco. of Acworth Committee.

8 comments:

Unknown said...

Good work. Gives an overall analysis of the Budget for the fiscal 2007-08 in a precise way. This being a critical analysis gives a fairly good idea about the weaknesses of the budget. It generated an unprecedented enthusiasm in me to go through the original budget speech of the Finance Minister. Well done!!

Unknown said...

the maturity of ur thoughts reflect that u r now prepared 4 getting selected.u touched nearly each sphere of budget which is appreciable.work more on data collection.best of luck.

nivi said...

hey good work! if this is the first blog of urs and if its the first post, then its fabulous!
thought i wouldn really agree with u that its a disappointment...
first of all, i personally felt that the limits of FBT should be extended...
second of all, one thing i have always questioned is... why do they give SO much subsidies for farming population.. agreed that they r poor.. but too much of help makes them lazy to the core and useless... they don add anything to the nation s prosperity...
well this my opinion...

Dipan Karmakar said...

Nivi this one is 4 u...
Thanx 4 ur support and views on my post...
To address ur concerns I must say that there is in real no ‘all or none’ thing, niether 'good' or 'bad' nor any 'cut and paste' approach for most of the critical issues, our budget being one of them...it is due to all practical reasons mostly a matter of priorities...
First extending the FBT may 4m one perspective b desirable but viewed 4m the perspective of maintaing the high growth momentum & boosting our economy, additional tax burden mostly proves a bane...
2nd our farm sector is all about 50% Indians...ny benefits passed on for helping them raise up from the chronic cycle of poverty and distress is only desirable... even 4m the global perspective it is all about competition- just a look at the huge subsidies to the farm sector by the developed countries says it all-4m the economic perspective too...
i hope my explanation can help satisfy u, albeit to a small extent...
Regards
Deep

nivi said...

yea... got ur point... i know that there is nothing right and wrong or good and bad....

as far as agricultural subsidies are concerned, i jus have one questions which i have had over the years... have we progressed or have the objectives of giving subsidies have been useful? has it led to anywhere? i don think so... the subsidies don reach to those people who need it... most of it enjoyed it by the middlemen only!so wats the point?

and FBT... i have a ques... if the govt doesn levy tax from the people who have money, then from where will it get funds to build the infrastructure and all?

Dipan Karmakar said...

hi nivi!
coming straight to the point what u now say is in a completely different perspective... i agree with u that there r a no. of probs in effective implimentation, but that calls for reforms in the implimenting mechanisms as we can't throw the baby with the bathing water...
as far extendinf FBT its not bad to tax the rich but it is harmful for a competitive economy seen on a larger canvas...

Anonymous said...

Hello Dipan,

Blog looks elegant. As far as the content goes, I am not an economy expert. Be sure whether your focus is on budget or your flowery english. But overall, it is an interesting blog to read.

-Satish

Manju Choudhary said...

Hello Deep........
Your work is really appreciable.Gives overall perspective of the budget in a very precise manner....thanks.
keep it up
manju